Market overview
What we can actually price, and what it adds up to. Every figure below is built from completed sales. Nothing is modelled, extrapolated, or lifted from an asking price.
One HIGH/MEDIUM-confidence median per confidently-priced printing, summed. Thin-sample, source-withheld and no-solds cards contribute nothing — see the note below for exactly how many of each.
HIGH or MEDIUM confidence under the published sample gate: 4 or more completed sales. These are the only cards whose completed-sale estimate we will print as a bare number, and the only ones summed into the tracked-value floor.
Cards resting on 10 or more completed sales in their own priced window — the same depth HIGH confidence requires. A confidence-breadth signal, not a price: a card can clear this and still not be the one summed into the floor if its estimator basis differs.
A card's latest sold comp is "fresh" when the newest real-dated sale behind it is 14 days old or less — the same axis the FRESH/STALE badge on every card page reads; a card with no real-dated sale counts as not-fresh, never assumed current. Per-SOURCE capture freshness (how recently we last checked each marketplace feed) is a separate, internal signal — see the methodology page for that detail.
It sums one median per confidently-priced printing (HIGH/MEDIUM only); the 36 cards resting on a thin sample, 0 temporarily source-withheld, and 26 with no verified solds contribute nothing — we would rather total less than invent the rest.
Prices are aggregated completed sales from eBay US — sold listings only, detailed in the methodology.
The map of tracked value one tile per confidently-priced card · area = its share of the $10,521 floor
Tiles are tinted by set (the legend below names every one); a violet border marks a chase printing. A tile too small to hold readable type drops its label rather than print 3px glyphs — its identity stays in the tooltip, the link and the legend.
Movers
What moved, and what held. Pick a window — today, this week, this month — for the cards whose sold price actually changed.
Day-over-day sold-median moves that clear the gate: both days resting on 4+ completed sales, MEDIUM confidence or better, not flagged suspect. A comparison we cannot back is refused, never counted as a flat move.
7-day sold median against the 30-day median, moves of 2% or more, over cards that passed the producer's trend gate. Smaller wobbles are noise on this sample size and are held back rather than printed.
Two gated medians that agree within 2%. This is a real claim — a hold backed by completed sales on both windows — not the absence of a claim.
Every move rests on real completed sales at both ends. When a window has nothing solid, it says so, rather than invent a number (how we price).
Biggest confirmed move right now
Nothing confidently-backed to headline yet — every window is either quiet or still gathering the sales a move needs. We would rather leave this blank than invent a number.
Today day-over-day sold-median moves — both days on 4+ completed sales
No day-over-day move clears the gate yet. a move appears only when two daily snapshots each rest on 4+ completed sales AND the gated median actually changed — a comparison we cannot back is never rendered as 0.0%.
This week 7-day sold median vs the 30-day median · moves of 2%+
No confident price moves to report this week — nothing that passed the trend gate moved 2% or more. We would rather show nothing than a fabricated move.
This month 30-day sold median vs the median a month before — both ends on 4+ completed sales
A month-long move needs about a month of daily snapshots to compare against. this window fills in as the daily series reaches a month deep — a gap we cannot back is never rendered as 0.0%.
Beyond the moves — what is actually selling, what is close to qualifying, and what we refuse to call
Volume leaders verified sold counts and per-day velocity — ranked only at 4+ sales in the 7-day window; never a price or a trend claim
Nothing clears the ranking bar this week — no item holds 4+ verified sales in the 7-day window. Velocity over a tiny sample is noise with a decimal point, so we do not print one.
Selling, but below the ranking bar
| Item | Code | Count (a count is a count) |
|---|---|---|
Palworld BP01 Booster Box |
sealed · booster box | Raw · US completed sales · 232 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Chillet – Dragon Whisperer 竜を呼ぶ声 – オコチョ |
BP01-025 |
Raw · US completed sales · 76 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Zoe's Strategy ゾーイの作戦 |
BP01-095 |
Raw · US completed sales · 63 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Pump-Action Shotgun ポンプ式ショットガン |
BP01-020 |
Raw · US completed sales · 60 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Pengullet – Yearning for the Sky 空への憧れ – ペンタマ |
BP01-028 |
Raw · US completed sales · 58 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Jormuntide Ignis – Savage Lava Dragon 荒ぶる溶岩竜 – アグニドラ |
BP01-001 |
Raw · US completed sales · 57 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Relaxaurus – Hungry Gunner ペコペコガンナー – ペコドン |
BP01-026 |
Raw · US completed sales · 53 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Victor's Strategy ヴィクターの作戦 |
BP01-046 |
Raw · US completed sales · 52 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Lily's Strategy リリィの作戦 |
BP01-070 |
Raw · US completed sales · 52 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Suzaku – Hellfire Wings 業火の翼 – スザク |
BP01-002 |
Raw · US completed sales · 51 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate · stale window |
Palworld BP01 Carton (12 boxes) |
sealed · carton | Raw · US completed sales · 47 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
Chillet – Dragon Whisperer 竜を呼ぶ声 – オコチョ |
BP01-025 OSR |
Raw · US completed sales · 47 in 30d — below the 4-sale bar for a per-day rate |
…and 238 more with verified sales below the ranking bar.
Counts are completed sales verified within each window (observed-at dates, not necessarily sold-on). Per-day rates render only at 4+ sales — below that, a count is a count. There is no sell-through rate here: we hold no honest active-listing count to divide by.
Most sold this week raw completed-sale counts in the 7-day window — cards and sealed, any confidence (a count is a count)
No completed sales observed in the last 7 days.
Watching for qualification items with real sales this week but fewer than the 4 needed to report a move
Every item with sales this week already holds 4+ — nothing is stuck below the bar.
What we refuse to call deep samples that STILL do not clear the honesty gates — the refusal is the content
Nothing is currently deep enough to tempt a call we would have to refuse.
Newest first comps cards that just entered price discovery — single receipts, not medians
| Card | Code | First observed sale | When | Receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EPR-008 name not yet confirmed |
EPR-008 S |
$500.00 | Sold 2026-09-06 | eBay US · Raw · US completed sales |
| Soul ソウル | ESOUL-001 |
$2.00 | Sold 2026-09-05 | eBay US · Raw · US completed sales |
Lamball – My First Pal 始まりのパル – モコロン |
TD01-023 TSR |
$34.00 | Sold 2026-09-03 | eBay US · Raw · US completed sales |
Stone Pit 採石場 |
TD01-008 TSR |
$14.99 | Sold 2026-08-22 | eBay US · Raw · US completed sales |
| Cryolinx – Arctic Ordeal | EPR-005 |
$65.00 | Sold 2026-08-18 | eBay US · Raw · US completed sales |
Inclusion rules — what has to be true before we call something a move
A move renders only when it is real: both endpoints on 4+ completed sales, MEDIUM confidence or better, not flagged suspect, trend gate passed (weekly) or exact paired days (daily). A failed gate is refused — shown as a reason in words, never as a fabricated 0.0%. Counts are source-gated completed-sale counts with no confidence claim of their own.
"Confidently priced" means HIGH or MEDIUM confidence under the published sample gate. Thin samples stay on their card pages as qualified estimates and are excluded here — summing numbers we would not print bare would make the total a guess. See the methodology · every card we track.












